Followers of the Magpies are increasingly regarding Eddie Howe's side as an inconsistent ally. When everything clicks, they can be the very entertainers, delivering high-octane exhibitions. But, at other times, previously reliable figures like their midfield linchpin and his teammates utterly do not show up.
Compounding these problems is a second-half game management suffused by a worrying element of disorganization. Before their trip to Old Trafford, the numbers tell a sobering tale: they have squandered thirteen precious top-flight points from leading positions this campaign and are yet to keep a shutout in ten straight outings across all competitions. Earning three points at their famous stadium would represent only their second-ever domestic triumph on the travel this season.
Conversely, defeat has been tasted once in their most recent 6 league encounters, and although sitting in a seemingly lowly eleventh position, they are a only six points away from the coveted top four. Factor in an looming two-part League Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a reasonable prospect of progressing to the European Cup knockout phase, and it becomes easier to see the manager's guarded optimism.
“Our issues aren't limited to problems,” stated the team's boss. “We have assets as well. I am decidedly half full currently. I realize outside observers might have a divergent view, but in my view we're making progress.”
The question remains: can this squad recapture – or even surpass – the heights of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place finish? Managing a congested fixture list makes this difficult.
The resulting tiredness could explain the inability to uphold a stellar first-half performance against Chelsea, ultimately surrendering a 2-0 advantage to draw 2-2. Similarly, it is possibly the culprit for a lackluster performance in a painful loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side looked off the pace just a short time after a grueling European away day.
Although coaching is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the constant grind of two games a week football has drastically cut into valuable practice time. This hinders the squad's tactical adaptation to playing with new striker Nick Woltemade up front, rather than the departed their former star. While extremely gifted, the German forward does not possess the equivalent blistering counter-attacking speed or intense pressing.
In fact, the team's previously effective high press has occasionally malfunctioned. Fitness issues to key component Joelinton have been a factor, while high-profile arrivals the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have had difficulties settling since their big-money transfers.
If a switch to a 3-5-2 could theoretically assist the team, a worsening defensive injury list renders that problematic. Important defenders will be missing for the upcoming crucial matches, challenging the team's resources.
When playing at their ferocious peak, they look almost unplayable. The issue is sustaining that intensity for the entire 90 minutes. The often-seen alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying counter-attacking shape has at times proven self-destructive.
“That game descended into chaotic at 2-2,” admitted the coach. “However we were trying to win. We always go out to win.”
What seems called for is a middle ground – one featuring superior possession control, a engine room capable of dictating the pace, and a sensible readiness to sometimes accept a draw. Yet, a desire to challenge on all fronts is pushing limited player resources to their breaking point.
It may sound sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the domestic cups earlier could have alleviated the current fixture pile-up. Amid vital Champions League and Premier League games on the horizon, the necessity to carefully prioritize is growing ever more obvious.
The manager acknowledged the scale of the challenge ahead. “Being involved a club of this size, the demands are big. Every moment's crucial. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We are in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to progress in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have a great deal of work to do to transform into the consistently winning side we envision. Our capacity to string together sequences of victories has eluded us this season.
“The task is to attain that standard we are aware we're able to reach. I believe that the self-belief we can achieve it is returning. Yet nowadays we have to show it. It ain't all bad currently, but the coming period will shape much.”
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